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中国男篮世预赛看点：能否两战全胜？杨瀚森反弹？_我的网站

年代秀

一 | 中国男篮将在北京时间8月28日（0点，客场）和31日（19点30分，主场）迎来世预赛第四窗口期，也是世预赛第二阶段的首次比赛，对手分别是卡塔尔队和黎巴嫩队。

二 | 对于小组排名靠后的中国男篮而言，能否拿下这两场比赛也直接关乎着争夺2027年男篮世界杯参赛资格的前景。

Residents ride electric bicycles through floodwaters caused by heavy rain from Typhoon Dolphin’s remnants in Zhengzhou, Central China’s Henan Province, on August 12, 2026. Photo: IC
Typhoon Dolphin, the 13th typhoon of the year, weakened into a tropical depression over Central China’s Hubei Province on Monday and was subsequently declassified by the National Meteorological Center (NMC). However, its remnants continue to bring significant rainfall risks. Combined with incoming cold air, the system is expected to trigger heavy rain across East China, the Huanghuai region and North China over the next three days, with some areas facing high risks of rain-triggered disasters.
The NMC continued its orange alert for heavy rain and blue alert for severe convective weather on Wednesday morning. At 6 pm on Tuesday, the Ministry of Water Resources and the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) jointly issued a red warning for flash floods, while the Ministry of Natural Resources and the CMA jointly issued an orange risk warning for geological disasters, China’s state broadcaster China Central Television (CCTV) reported on Wednesday.
Around Wednesday, the typhoon’s remnants are expected to stall near the border area of Hubei, Henan and Anhui provinces, interacting with an upper-level trough and cold air to bring another round of widespread heavy rain, People’s Daily reported on Wednesday.
At the center of the heavy rainfall, parts of central and eastern Henan were hit by torrential to exceptionally heavy rain on Tuesday, with extreme rainfall reported locally in Pingdingshan and Luoyang. More heavy rain is forecast from Wednesday through Saturday, with parts of central and western Henan at risk of exceptionally heavy to extreme rainfall. The provincial flood control and drought relief headquarters activated a Level II emergency flood-control response at 8 am on Wednesday, per the CCTV report.
The Henan provincial meteorological observatory upgraded its heavy rain warning to red at 7:30 am on Wednesday. Parts of multiple cities including Luoyang, Zhengzhou and Zhoukou have seen exceptionally heavy rainfall, with Changcun village in Yexian county recording a maximum of 356.9 millimeters.
In response, China’s State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters and the Ministry of Emergency Management decided to raise the Level IV emergency flood-control response for Henan to Level III at 9 am on Wednesday.
Sun Qianqian, a CMA meteorological analyst, explained that as the moisture carried by the typhoon reaches Henan, the Taihang and Funiu mountains will act as a barrier, forcing the moist air to rise and significantly amplifying precipitation.
The arrival of cold air is expected to further fuel severe convection, unleashing the system’s remaining energy and moisture, CCTV reported.
The combination of the typhoon’s remnants and cold air can produce even heavier rain than the typhoon itself. With saddle-shaped weak steering currents between high-pressure systems to the east and west, Typhoon Dolphin’s residual low-pressure circulation is expected to stall over Henan and Hubei provinces, prolonging the rainfall, according to CCTV.
After Typhoon Dolphin’s remnants moved into Hubei, strong winds and heavy rain hit parts of the province, with Xiangyang, Shiyan and Suizhou among the hardest-hit areas, CCTV reported.
Since China’s State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters and the Ministry of Emergency Management activated a Level IV flood-control emergency response for Hubei on Monday, more than 25,000 people had been relocated from affected areas by Tuesday noon, Hubei Daily reported on Wednesday.
Heavy rain has increased flood-control pressure in Xiangyang, where 125 reservoirs have exceeded normal water levels. More than 10,000 people had been relocated by Tuesday evening, while 266 rescue teams with 9,087 personnel have been deployed and more than 170,000 emergency relief supplies prepared, according to Hubei Daily.
Hubei has dispatched experts and working teams to key areas including Xiangyang and Shiyan. Some 27,800 emergency personnel and 16,400 sets of rescue equipment have been pre-positioned in areas facing heavy rain, Hubei Daily reported.
Moreover, heavy rain is expected to continue in Beijing from Wednesday morning through Thursday daytime, with the most intense rainfall occurring from Wednesday morning through the day. The rain was forecast to gradually weaken starting Wednesday night, CCTV reported.
According to Xue Li, director of the flood control and drought relief division of the Beijing Emergency Management Bureau, rain began spreading across Beijing around Tuesday noon, with Shifosi village in Yanqing district recording the city’s highest rainfall of 175.4 millimeters between noon and 9 pm, CCTV reported.
Beijing activated a citywide Level II flood-control emergency response at 9 am on Tuesday. Districts of Fangshan and Mentougou were placed under a strengthened Level I response, while eight other districts, including Changping and Tongzhou, activated Level I flood-control responses.
In addition, the capital city had evacuated all residents identified as being at risk by 6 pm on Tuesday. As of 9 pm on Tuesday, Beijing had closed 151 tourist attractions and 157 camping sites, suspended more than 4,100 rural B&B operations, evacuated or turned back over 1,300 tourists, and halted work at more than 3,300 construction sites.
Heavy rain also hit many parts of Tianjin Municipality on Wednesday, disrupting air travel. By 12:30 pm, the Tianjin Binhai International Airport had canceled four flights and delayed 13, with services to Chengdu, Guiyang and Kunming among the hardest hit.
Global Times
。看点一：中国男篮能否两战全胜？由于中国男篮在小组赛也就是世预赛第一阶段的战绩不佳，而第一阶段的战绩将直接带入到世预赛第二阶段，因此，这使得只有3胜3负的中国男篮目前排名F组第5（共6队），排名第6也就是小组倒数第一的沙特同样是3胜3负。排名第4的韩国队虽然也是3胜3负，但他们世预赛第一阶段主客场双杀中国男篮。因此，中国男篮的处境并不理想。根据世预赛晋级规则，第二阶段分组后，每个小组积分排名前三的球队和两个小组里成绩最好的第四名球队晋级世界杯，一共有7个晋级名额。作为2027年男篮世界杯的东道主，卡塔尔男篮自动获得世界杯参赛名额，但他们也需要参加世预赛，只是不占用这7个晋级名额。对中国男篮而言，若想晋级2027年男篮世界杯，就必须争取成为F组的前三。只有这样，中国男篮才能直接晋级。否则，中国男篮即便成为了F组的第四，也需要好于E组第四的成绩，才能获得最后的参赛名额。

三 | 而从F组第5升至第3难度很大。因此，中国男篮若能在本次窗口期两战全胜，排名、战绩和信心都将大幅提升。但如果只拿到1胜1负或者两战皆负，那中国男篮的处境会依然艰难甚至更加糟糕。中国男篮本次世预赛的两个对手，阵容上都存在不同程度的短缺。卡塔尔男篮近期的集训阵容缺少了如哈季贝戈维奇（世预赛场均16.6分，全队第二）、贝德里（场均5.7分）、哈里斯（场均8分）等主力，NCAA的穆萨没有回国。卡塔尔男篮此番使用的归化球员是淡出卡塔尔男篮多年的前归化后卫迈克-刘易斯，重金归化的前NBA球员纳恩因伤缺阵。黎巴嫩男篮的核心后卫阿拉基（世预赛场均19.3分5助攻，两项数据都是全队第一）因伤缺阵，归化球员、新疆男篮外援劳森（场均14.3分12篮板，篮板全队第一，得分全队第二）也不会出战。此外，黎巴嫩新星、22岁的卡亚特（场均8.7分7.3篮板，篮板全队第二），上个窗口期表现不错的萨乌德（场均9.7分，上个窗口期单场拿到25分）都将缺席比赛。他们的新归化球员芬德伯克和球队的默契程度还有待观察。就阵容的完整度来看，中国男篮本次世预赛要占据优势。中国男篮能否两战全胜和提升排名也将在此一举。看点二：杨瀚森反弹？杨瀚森上个窗口期在国家队的表现并不理想。两场比赛，他场均登场15.3分钟，但场均只能得到9.5分5.5篮板，攻防两端都没能体现出足够的价值。主场惨败日本队时，他5投3中、6罚3中得到9分7篮板2助攻，出现4次犯规和2次失误。

四 | 防守端，他脚步慢、防不出去的老问题依然明显，这也导致他被对手后卫多次点名攻击。轮到自己进攻，杨瀚森是越打越着急，甚至出现了篮下转身投篮三不沾的情况。比赛中，他还不止一次出现进攻犯规。整场比赛，杨瀚森的亮点有限。拿下中国台北队时，杨瀚森8投4中、4罚2中得到10分4篮板1助攻。虽然数据相比输日本队时变化不大，但全场0犯规、1次失误，明显提升了杨瀚森的效率。比赛中，杨瀚森打得要更加自如，心态也没有那么大的波动。这次世预赛，和国家队合练时间有限的杨瀚森，和队友不够默契、防守移动偏慢、中远投能力不稳定的老问题依然在，关键就看他能否调整好心态？能否用进攻上的优势来弥补防守端的缺陷。

五 |

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Published on:21:02:07